Premium Picks

Winning Day # 62 of 101

400♦
Non-Conference
Game of the Month

Cincinnati-Army ... Kickoff at 3:30 pm eastern

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$1 Bettors have made $15,550 in the NFL since 2015

BACK SUNDAY FOR NFL WINNER # 4 OF 5


RECENT RESULTS

Friday, September 25

200♦ Under Heat-Celtics Loser

Thursday, September 24

500♦ Over Jaguars-Dolphins Loser

Wednesday, September 23

500♦ Indians Run Line (+135) Loser

Tuesday, September 22

500♦ Indians Run Line (+135) Winner

Monday, September 21

500♦ Over Raiders-Saints Winner

Sunday, September 20

1000♦ Packers Winner

Saturday, September 19

600♦ Wake Forest - Loser

Friday, September 18

500♦ Cubs - Winner

Thursday, September 17

500♦ Bengals - Winner
Payment Types

Winning Day # 62 of 101

400♦
Non-Conference
Game of the Month

Cincinnati-Army
Kickoff at 3:30 pm eastern

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

$1 Bettors have made
$15,550 in the NFL since 2015

BACK SUNDAY FOR
NFL WINNER # 4 OF 5
$89
Couple bumps in the road the last two nights. Nothing I'm concerned about.

I can shake off the NBA total loss last night, a mere 200♦ play on Heat-Celtics Under, and will bounce back with a 400♦ winner on the mid-day card, as Army and Cincinnati take the field.

Love this game that kicks off at 3:30 pm eastern, as I build the bankroll for NFL Sunday.

Winning Day # 62 of 101

400♦
Non-Conference
Game of the Month

Cincinnati-Army ... Kickoff at 3:30 pm eastern

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

$1 Bettors have made $15,550 in the NFL since 2015

BACK SUNDAY FOR NFL WINNER # 4 OF 5

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Steve Budin, Chuck O'Brien, Sean Michaels,

Jay McNeil, Matt Rivers, Scott Delaney,

Karl Garrett (NHL) and Gabe DuPont (NHL) 

do NOT release plays every day


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Chris Jordan's Rating System

 

Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.

 

You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.

 

That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.

 

For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.

 

The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.


On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.

 

Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.

 

You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.

Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.

 

Please follow these ratings accordingly.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE:

 

The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.

 

I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:

 

Blank Check play - $2,500

 

1,000♦ Plays - $500

 

200♦ Plays - $100 each

 

With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.

 

Hope this helps in regards to money management!


Complimentary College Football Winner

Kansas State at OKLAHOMA (-28')

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One heck of a way to open Big 12 play, as the Kansas State Wildcats travel to play No. 3 Oklahoma, and the Sooners aren't going to be very nice in Norman.

Quite honestly, and I wouldn't wish the COVID-19 virus on anyone, but the Wildcats may be better off not meeting the threshold of having enough players available on game day.

Monday Kansas State coach Chris Klieman said his team meets the threshold to play the Sooners on Saturday - as of then. His hope is the Wildcats can still meet them when the new testing results come through Wednesday and/or Friday.

If they play, the Sooners will romp.

The Wildcats' defense left plenty to be desired in their season-opener on Sept. 12, when they lost a last-minute decision to Arkansas State, 35-31. Perspective on K-State's 31 points: Oklahoma scored 31 points in the first quarter en route to a 41-0 halftime lead over Missouri State. The Sooners tallied 608 yards of total offense, including 484 passing yards between a pair of quarterbacks, en route to a 48-0 win.

Starting quarterback Spencer Rattler threw for 290 yards and four touchdowns on 14-of-17 aim, all coming in the first half.

On the other side of the ball, the Sooners registered four sacks and nine tackles for loss against Missouri State, as linebacker Brian Asamoah led the squad with seven tackles, while Delarrin Turner-Yell had four stops and a 42-yard interception return that led to the Sooners' final score.

This, in a word, is a mismatch - by huge proportions. And making matters worse for the Wildcats, they won last year's meeting. Oklahoma will be out for revenge, after the 'Cats handed the then-fifth-ranked Sooners a 48-41 defeat.

The Wildcats are mired in a 1-4 skid in Big 12 openers, and the Sooners want to dominate.

Lay the number.

3♦ OKLAHOMA
Based on 1♦ to 5♦

Complimentary Pro Football Winner

NY Jets at INDIANAPOLIS (-10')

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My free play for Sunday is the Indianapolis Colts over the sad, sad JE-T-S --- New York Jets!

Have the Jets decided it's okay to start tanking for the right to draft Trevor Lawrence?

The Fly Boys have the worst offense in football with just 265.5 yards per game, and the second worst with 15.0 points per game. On defense, it's really not that much better, ranking 24th in allowing 29 points per contest, and 19th in giving up 381.5 yards per contest.

Now they have to go into Indianapolis to face a team that could very well be 2-0, but lost a tough season-opener to Jacksonville, 27-20, despite accumulating 445 yards in the game, outgaining the Jaguars by 204 yards.

In years past we'd marvel about the Colts' offense, right? But this year I think if this team is going to make a run, you have to give the defense its respect, ranking 8th in allowing an average 19 points per game, and 1st in giving up just 208 yards per contest.

By average, Indy's opponent's are starting their drives on their own 25.5-yard line - fourth-best in the league. They're limiting foes to just 5.1 plays per drive and 21.9 yards per drive - both first in the NFL - and just 1.95 points per drive.

Those are a lot of analytical numbers coming your way, but the fact is, the Jets' offense is really bad, and the Colts' defense is top notch.

I wouldn't be surprised to see a blowout to the tune of 41-3.

3♦ COLTS
Based on 1♦ to 5♦