Premium Picks

College Football Winner # 17 of 23

50 DIME
Winner # 3 of 4

SEC Opening Lock

Miss State-LSU - 3:30 pm


RECENT RECAP

9/25 - 50 Dime - UTSA -130 (FB) - Loss
9/24 - 50 Dime Miami Dolphins - Win


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College Football Winner # 17 of 23

50 DIME
Winner # 3 of 4

SEC Opening Lock

Miss State-LSU - 3:30 pm
$79
They were up 34-23 after 3 quarters of play, but UTSA got outscored 12-3 in the 4th quarter and had to hang on for the 37-35 win over Middle Tennessee State in a game the Roadrunners did not cover.

Just shaking my head here. Need to string together some winners for you.

Believe me, I am trying. It's not always a smooth ride, but I will keep on plugging away.

Let's get after it For Saturday afternoon.

College Football Winner # 17 of 23

50 DIME
Winner # 3 of 4

SEC Opening Lock

Miss State-LSU - 3:30 pm

All about nailing this play and getting back on the plus side.

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Mitch Newman's Rating System

In college I had one particular finance instructor who used to say "5/3rds of all people just don't get fractions."

I think gamblers feel the same way about handicappers' ratings sometimes.

Why must they be so complicated? The entire point of a rating system is that you know how much a handicapper likes a play in relation to how much you should be wagering on it.

Ah, but there's the rub.

I'm going to rate my plays on a 10-to-100 dime system. Nice and simple, right? An 80 Dimer is twice as strong as a 40 Dimer. A 100 Dimer is a Max Wager and 2 1/2 times stronger than a 40 Dimer. 

But how does that correlate to the amount you wager? Well, there are two factors you should consider and only you have those answers:
1 - The size of your bankroll for that given day

2 - Whether you're entering the day on a positive or negative roll

Who is Mitch Newman?

I know I may not look the type, but looks can be deceiving because I got hooked on this thing called gambling probably from the minute I played my first parlay card in 10th grade.

You remember those little slips from years ago your friends would hand out in class. Pick 4 teams for $1 to win $10.

Did I ever win? Hell no, but that taste was all I needed. I graduated to betting through my first "real" bookie while in college, where I studied business. 

You hear a lot about analytics when it comes to managing and coaching teams nowadays. Numbers obviously have a huge impact when it comes to handicapping games and I certainly respect them having a business background. But you can't ignore your gut instinct, your "feel" for a game. It's that blend that's made me successful over the years.

I've used my college degree and worked in the business world, but I eventually gravitated toward the gambling industry, first working as a writer for a couple of national publications/tipsheets and then releasing my own picks to a small following I had built via a phone service. This, however, is the first time I've ever released my plays online to the masses. 

Today's Complimentary Play

While it is dicey laying over a touchdown with the rebuilding Yellow Jackets of Georgia Tech, I believe from what we have seen through the first two games this season that the Rambling Wreck is definitely further along in coach Geoff Collins' second year that the flat-out wreck that the Orange are this season.

Syracuse's defense has kept them in their opening pair of games - both losses - but they aren't getting 3 touchdowns like they were last week when they lost at Pittsburgh and the 'Cuse offense (can you even call it that?) is atrocious.

Through two games, Syracuse has already surrendered 14 sacks on the quarterback and 25 tackles for losses in their opening pair of games. Starter Tommy DeVito has been spelled by Rex Culpepper and it is Culpepper that has thrown for the lone Orange TD thus far this season. Sure, Syracuse should fare better at home against a Yellow Jackets defense that allowed over 600 yards last weekend, but that came against prolific Central Florida and UCF only led Tech 28-21 before pulling away late in their 49-21 road win.

Georgia Tech's quarterback Jeff Sims is just a freshman but he has thrown for 277 yards in the Jackets upset win at Florida State and he threw for another 244 yards in last week's loss to UCF. OK, so he has been picked off twice in both games and the Techsters did have 5 total turnovers in last week's comeuppance, but turnovers are something you can eliminate.

Tech eliminates those turnovers this weekend and since the 'Cuse is only scoring it at 8 points per game with their lacking offense I think eventually Georgia Tech is able to distance themselves from Syracuse.

3♦ GEORGIA TECH
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)