9 of 11 Winning Football Seasons
(NFL & College Combined including 2012-13)
Biggest NBA Plays Past Since 2009
15 Dime Releases
Most Recent Releases
Winner - Oklahoma City (-2) 103-87 over Miami (March 25)
Loser - Lakers (-6) vs. Golden State (March 27)
Winner - Oklahoma City (-6) 92-78 over Chicago (April 1)
Winner - Denver (-2) 106-101 at Oklahoma City (April 26)
Winner - Dallas (+6') in a 102-99 loss at Oklahoma City (April 30)
Loser - Hawks/Lakers Teaser vs. Boston/Denver (May 1)
Loser - Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City (May 3)
Winner - Pacers (+2') 94-75 over Miami (May 17)
Winner - Spurs (-5) 96-86 over LA Clippers (May 19)
Loser - Pacers (+2) vs. Miami (May 20)
Winner - Spurs (-5) 120-111 over Oklahoma City (May 29)
Loser - Heat (-8) vs. Boston (May 30)
Winner - Thunder (-4') over San Antonio (May 31)
Winner - Thunder (-3') over San Antonio (June 2)
Winner - Thunder (-5) over Miami (June 12)
Loser - Thunder First Half (-3) vs. Miami (June 14)
Winner - Heat (-4) over Oklahoma City (June 17)
Winner - Heat (-3') over Oklahoma City (June 21)
Loser - Heat (-6) vs. New York (November 2)
Winner - Knicks (-7') over New Orleans (November 20)
Winner - Thunder (-5') over San Antonio (December 17)
Winner - Clippers (-4') over Lakers (January 4)
Loser - Nuggets (-12) vs. Cleveland (January 11)
Loser - Nets (-6) vs. Atlanta (January 18)
Loser - Pistons (-4') vs. New Orleans (February 11)
Loser - Nuggets (-8') vs. Boston (February 19)
Winner - Nuggets (-9) over New York (March 13)
773-747-19 Past 51 Months
So here's the deal:
This number is 100% inconsequential UNLESS you've been with me for the past 50 months. That is, it's inconsequential for YOU. For me, on the other hand, it's 100% important because that's MY MONEY you see on the table the past 51 months.
In November of 2009, this figure was around +120 dimes. By the 2010 Super Bowl, it was a tad under +200. By July of 2010, it reached a high-water point of +402. And then I crashed and burned in baseball in 2010, registering just my fourth losing season the past 13 years. That eroded most of the profit and a few big football losers killed me along the way.
By January of 2011, I had gotten back into the black, but a dreadful February (2011) put me back in negative territory. But after hitting an all-time low of -402 dimes in late July of 2011, I've rebounded with a strong run in all sports. I had picked up over 350 dimes the final five months of 2011 before hitting a rough patch in January of 2012, which put the figure at slightly over 200 dimes net profit over the previous eight months.
Thanks to an exceptional 2012 baseball campaign, I had whittled the deficit down to -33 dimes by mid-September. Then after winning 9 of the previous 10 football seasons, I had an awful 2012 campaign that put me in another hole. As usual, I climbed back, narrowing my deficit down to single digits again by early January, only to hit a bad three-week run after the Super Bowl that put me deep in the red once more.
Frankly, I prefer to look at the positive. I had a bankroll that I maintained for over 2 1/2 years before losing all that I had WON. It's not like I lost 5000 dimes in 2 1/2 years.
So why do I keep this running total? Because I believe in total transparency at this site for everyone. Without integrity, we have nothing.
5 Dime A.L. Lock
Winning Day # 23 of 29
MLB Winner # 23 of 28
Strong as last night's winner on the
Nationals 6-5 at San Diego
Strong as Thursday's winner on the
Rangers in a 10-4 blowout of Detroit
Strong as Wednesday's winner on the
Cards in a 4-2 run line win vs. the Mets
10-1 roll with 5 Dimers (7 in a Row)
Made it 7 straight 5 dime winners - and 10 of 11 overall in baseball - with the Nationals in a 6-5 extra-inning triumph at San Diego last night. That was preceded by Thursday's 5 dime winner on the Rangers in a 10-4 blowout of Detroit and Wednesday's 5 dimer on the Cards in a 4-2 run line victory over New York.
Got another 5 dimer today as I'm returning to Arlington for Game Three of the Detroit-Texas series.
More importantly, I'm seeking Winning Day # 23 of 29 overall and MLB Winner # 23 of 28.
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Over the 25 years I've been doing this, one of the biggest misconceptions I've encountered from customers is their belief that winningpercentageactually matters in this business. Bottom line is that a straight-up winning percentage means absolutely nothing when your handicapper - such as myself - releases rated selections. Read further and you'll understand why.
I use the "dime" rating system, going in 5 dime increments, generally keeping those plays between 5 and 50 dimes. Yes, that's a wide range, but truth be told, I usually max out around 30 dimes, rarely venturing into the rarefied air toward 50 dimes unless I've built a substantial bankroll. Doing anything different would be irresponsible bankroll management on my part and a total disservice toward you, my clients.
I like to keep it simple from a money-management system so my customers can always know exactly how they should beallocatingtheir bankroll in proportion to the rating I assign to a selection.
Obviously, a 50 Dime play is five times stronger than a 10 Dime release and twice as strong as a 25 Dime pick.
And each day when you see my compiling or mentioning my NET profit figures, keep in mind I've computing them based on the following formula:
Net Profit = Wins - Losses- Vig
Of course let's not forget my golden rule of gambling: Never bet more than you can afford to lose. No rating system - including mine - is effective unless you pay attention to that rule. By heeding my advice you can never fall into a financial abyss from which there is no escape.
A question gamblers always pose is "How much should I be playing?" Obviously, there is no set, firm answer, but my advice would be to follow my money management system and base the size of your wagers on a percentage of your total bankroll.
Let me explain further...
Take your total bankroll - the amount you can afford to lose in an absolute worst case scenario on a single day. Let's say it's $400 on a college football Saturday. And on that Saturday I release a 50 Dime play and two 20 Dime picks.
Let's do some quick math...I've got atotalof 90 dimes of action on the table (one 50 dime play and two 20 dimers). You've got amaximum one-day bankrollof $400. Simply divide the $400 by the 90 dimes and you've got a per dime wager of $4.44.
Now it's time for some simple multiplication. If a dime is worth $4.44, my 50 Dime rated release equals approximately a $222 wager on your part. And my two 20 Dime rates picks equal approximately $88.88 wagers each. Add everything back up and you've got your initial $400 bankroll all over again.
This obviously all applies to a single wagering day. It's up to you to figure out how to allocate your bankroll over the course of a week or month.
Now, back to how inconsequential winning percentages can be: Let's say I have a 50 Dime play and three 10 Dime releases on an NFL Sunday. If I win the 50 Dime play and go 0-3 with the 10 Dime releases, my overall record is a dismal 1-3 but my net profit is a healthy 17 dimes. Conversely, let's say I lose the 50 Dime play and go 3-0 with the 10 Dime releases. My overall record is an impressive 3-1, but my net profit is a negative -25 dimes.
Which would you prefer, the losing record and winning day, or the winning record or losing day?
Believe what you want, but I'm telling you the truth: Winning percentage means nothing in this business as the above illustration will prove time and time again. Of course, crafty salesmen masquerading as handicappers can spin gold using the second scenario, but I feel it's my job to educate you about what is the TRUTH in this business - whether you become my customer or not.
Been there, done that, seen it all.
That pretty much sums up my 25+ years in this business!
25 years in a business that most guys are lucky to make it 25 months.
The secret to my success? To be honest, there is no one "secret," no magic elixir, but rather a commitment to winning which means a commitment to working 365 days a year.
Being a handicapper is not a part-time job. Now, those of you reading this, the gamblers of this world, I understand that you are not professional gamblers and obviously you do this on recreational basis and cannot devote your life to wagering. But that's what I'm here for; that's what you pay me for.
There are two types of handicappers in this business: The first are great salesmen who excel at separating you from the money in your wallet and could care less about picking winners. The second are guys who know how to make clients money by winning consistently over the long haul through effective money-management techniques and an intuitive sense of knowing when to press and go for the jugular with big plays - especially when your playing with your bookmaker's money.
Listen, in my 25 years in this business I've seen more scam artists and con men than you can believe. A few of these relics - the dinosaurs from the 800 phone room age - are still around trying to make a buck online. You know the type; they tell you something is "absolutely free" with the same conviction that makes you look twice when they claim the sky is blue.
Rest assured, what you see here at my site is what you get. My plays are ONLY available online. And these are the ONLY plays I've got each day. There is no "better" package available at a higher cost like so many other guys offer at their sites or by phone. What you see is what you get; end of story.
No one - and I mean NO ONE - wins every day in this business, and anyone who claims to is a LIAR. As I always tell my clients, I will go on streaks, both good and bad, just like the players and teams I analyze daily. But the key for me - and my customers - is that I expect to turn a net profit for them over the long term. And making money over the course of season or a year, etc., is what matters most.
A little bit more about me....
Nice resume - and there's a lot more - but the past doesn't count in this business and that's why I laugh when I hear or read about a handicapper bragging about some contest they won 13 years ago.Who cares?
Enough about me because all that really matters is whether I can make you a winner. Check out my page. Watch me on TV. Listen to me on the radio. Decide for yourself. I'm not here to sell you anything; I'm here to make you money and no one is putting a gun to your head. The decision to let me help you is yours and yours alone.